There's a question that sits at the heart of every supply chain, and most organisations don't ask it often enough: is our distribution network actually set up to deliver what we're promising to customers, at a cost we can sustain?
It sounds simple. It's anything but. Network design and warehouse strategy are among the most consequential decisions a business makes — and they're also among the stickiest. Once you've signed a lease, built out a facility, and configured your operations around a particular footprint, you're locked in for years. Get it right and you create a platform for lower costs, faster service, and the flexibility to adapt as conditions change. Get it wrong and you bake inefficiency into the business in ways that are expensive and painful to undo.
In Australia right now, these decisions carry even more weight than usual. The industrial property market is shifting, customer expectations keep ratcheting up, construction costs remain elevated, and the economics of distribution are being reshaped by everything from e-commerce growth to interest rate movements. Organisations that approach network design and warehouse strategy with rigour — grounded in data, not gut feel — will outperform those that don't.
This article lays out how to think about these decisions in the current Australian context, where the common pitfalls are, and how to avoid them.
Why Network Design Matters More Than Most Executives Realise
When people hear "supply chain strategy," they tend to think about procurement contracts, transport rates, or warehouse management systems. Those things matter, but they're all downstream of a more fundamental question: what does the physical network look like?
Network design determines how many distribution centres, warehouses, cross-docks, or fulfilment centres you operate, where they're located, which customers and channels each facility serves, and how inventory is positioned across the network. It shapes your transport costs, your service levels, your working capital, and your ability to respond when things go wrong — whether that's a supplier delay, a demand spike, or a natural disaster.
In Australia and New Zealand, geography amplifies every network decision. The distances between population centres are vast. Freight costs are a significant share of total cost-to-serve. Labour markets vary enormously from one corridor to the next. And port dependencies — particularly for import-heavy businesses — add another layer of complexity that has to be factored into any serious network analysis.
A centralised network with one or two large distribution centres might offer economies of scale in warehousing but push transport costs higher and extend delivery times to regional areas. A decentralised network with multiple smaller facilities brings you closer to customers but increases inventory, complexity, and overhead. The right answer depends entirely on the specifics of your business — your product characteristics, order profiles, service commitments, and growth trajectory.
This is where strategy and network design capability becomes essential. It's not about having a strong opinion on centralised versus decentralised. It's about having the analytical tools and the industry experience to model both options (and everything in between), stress-test them against realistic demand scenarios, and quantify the trade-offs so leadership can make an informed decision.
The Current State of Australia's Industrial Market
Anyone making network decisions in 2026 needs to understand what's happening in the industrial property market, because the window of opportunity is shifting.
Through 2024 and into early 2025, Australia's industrial vacancy rates edged upward as a wave of new supply entered the market. National vacancy averaged around 2.8% through the first half of 2025 and rose to approximately 3.7% by the third quarter — still below the pre-2020 equilibrium of 5%, but enough to give tenants more negotiating leverage than they'd had in years.
That breathing room won't last. Speculative supply is forecast to fall by around 46% over the 2026–2027 period compared to the prior two years. Construction feasibility constraints — driven by elevated build costs and higher required economic rents — are causing developers to delay or shelve projects. At the same time, consumer spending is recovering, leasing activity is strengthening, and gross take-up is projected to reach 3.3 million square metres in 2026 and climb to 3.8 million in 2027.
The result is a market that's heading back towards tighter conditions. National vacancy is expected to peak at just under 4% by mid-2026 before declining to around 2.5% by late 2027. Prime net face rents are forecast to grow at roughly 3.9% per annum through 2026 and 2027, with effective rental growth accelerating as incentives pull back.
For occupiers, the implication is clear: the time to be making network decisions is now, while there's still some choice in the market. Waiting 18 months and hoping conditions will be the same is a gamble that the data doesn't support.
But — and this is the critical point — making a property decision is not the same as making a network decision. Signing a lease because a good deal is available in a particular submarket is not a strategy. It's a reaction. The property decision should follow the network decision, not the other way around. You need to know what network configuration best serves your business before you go looking for buildings.
Where Businesses Get Network Design Wrong
Having worked with organisations across retail, FMCG, government, manufacturing, and services, there are a handful of patterns that come up again and again when network design goes off the rails.
Starting with the building, not the question. This is the most common mistake. A lease comes up for renewal, a property agent presents an opportunity, or the board decides "we need a new DC." The response is to go find a building. But without first understanding the flows, the demand patterns, the cost-to-serve, and the service requirements, you end up with a facility decision disconnected from the network it sits in. The right sequence is always: strategy first, then network modelling, then facility requirements, then property search.
Ignoring the total cost picture. Transport and warehousing costs behave inversely — push one down and the other tends to go up. Organisations that optimise for warehouse cost alone (usually by consolidating into fewer, larger facilities) often find their freight bill blows out. The reverse is also true. A proper network model captures warehousing costs, inbound and outbound transport, inventory carrying costs, and fixed overheads to give a genuine total cost-to-serve view. Without this, you're optimising one line item at the expense of the whole.
Designing for today, not for where you're heading. Networks have long asset lives. Leases are typically 5–10 years, and the capital invested in fit-out, racking, and automation can take even longer to pay back. A network designed purely for today's volumes and channels may be undersized — or oversized — within a few years. Good network design incorporates demand scenarios that account for growth, channel shifts, seasonal variation, and potential disruption. This is where planning and operations capability intersects with network strategy.
Underestimating the labour dimension. Two sites that look identical on a spreadsheet can perform very differently depending on the local labour market. Wage rates, turnover, skills availability, commute patterns, and proximity to competing employers all affect your ability to staff a facility reliably. In Australia, where workforce planning and scheduling is already a challenge for most sectors, this should be a first-order consideration in any location analysis — not an afterthought.
Treating the warehouse as a black box. Network models tend to treat warehouses as cost-per-pallet or cost-per-order nodes. That's fine at a strategic level, but it's not enough when you're making real investment decisions. The internal design of the warehouse — layout, storage media, pick methodology, dock configuration, automation level — directly determines throughput capacity, cost, accuracy, and scalability. Network design and warehouse design need to be done in parallel, not sequentially, because they influence each other in ways that matter.
Warehouse Strategy: More Than Layout and Racking
A warehouse strategy defines what your facilities need to do, how they should be configured to do it, and what investments are required to achieve the desired performance. It sits between your network strategy (which tells you how many facilities, where, and what they serve) and your operational execution (which is the day-to-day running of the site).
For Australian businesses, getting warehouse strategy right is particularly important because of several converging pressures.
E-commerce continues to grow. Online fulfilment demands a fundamentally different warehouse operation than store replenishment. Picking individual items rather than full cases or pallets, managing returns at scale, and meeting next-day or same-day delivery windows all require specific design considerations — from pick-face layout to packing stations to outbound sortation. Many businesses that bolted on e-commerce capability during the pandemic are now discovering that their warehouse operations aren't scaled or designed for the volumes that online represents as a permanent channel. Designing warehouses that can serve both store and online channels efficiently is one of the core challenges for in-store and online retail supply chains.
Labour is scarce and expensive. Australia's warehouse workforce has been under pressure for several years, and the outlook doesn't suggest that's about to change. This makes the case for automation more compelling — but automation is a significant capital investment that needs to be justified against realistic volume projections and operational requirements. The question isn't whether to automate; it's what to automate, when, and to what extent. A phased approach — sometimes called "automation-when-ready" — designs the facility to accommodate future automation while being operationally effective with manual or semi-automated processes in the near term.
Sustainability expectations are rising. Warehouses consume significant energy, particularly when refrigeration is involved. The design of a facility — its orientation, insulation, lighting, HVAC, and solar potential — affects both operating costs and emissions. For organisations with supply chain sustainability commitments, warehouse strategy needs to integrate environmental performance from the outset, not treat it as a retrofit.
Construction costs remain elevated. Building a new warehouse, or fitting out an existing shell, is substantially more expensive than it was three years ago. Material costs, labour shortages in the construction industry, and longer approval timelines all contribute. This means every design decision carries more financial weight, and the cost of getting it wrong — overbuilding, underspecifying, or choosing the wrong location — is higher than it's been in a long time.
Connecting Network and Warehouse Decisions
One of the most common structural problems we see is a disconnect between network-level decisions and facility-level decisions. The network team models the optimal number and location of DCs. The property team goes and finds buildings. The operations team then has to make whatever they've been given actually work. Each group is doing sensible things in isolation, but the lack of integration means the result is suboptimal.
A centralised network with one or two large facilities might call for a high-throughput, automated warehouse with significant investment in materials handling equipment. A decentralised network with several regional facilities might favour smaller, more flexible operations with lower automation and greater reliance on labour. If the network configuration and the warehouse design aren't aligned, you end up with facilities that are either over-engineered for the flows they handle or under-equipped for the volumes they need to process.
At Trace Consultants, we deliberately run network and warehouse design modelling in parallel. The network model tells us the optimal flows, and the warehouse design work tells us what it takes to process those flows operationally. The two inform each other iteratively until we arrive at a solution that works on paper and will work in practice.
This integrated approach also extends to transport. Dock door numbers, yard layout, staging space, and dispatch scheduling all depend on the outbound transport plan — which in turn depends on the network configuration. Similarly, inbound logistics — container receival, cross-dock operations, putaway sequencing — need to be designed around the reality of how product arrives, not an idealised assumption.
The Role of Data — and Its Limits
Network design and warehouse strategy both depend heavily on data: demand data, order profile data, SKU data, transport data, cost data, and facility performance data. Good data enables good modelling. Poor data produces models that look precise but are actually misleading.
The first step in any network or warehouse project should be a thorough data review — cleaning, validating, and enriching the data to ensure it's fit for modelling. This includes understanding what the data does and doesn't capture. Most ERP and WMS systems will give you transactional data, but they rarely capture the nuances that affect warehouse design — things like handling complexity, product fragility, storage requirements, or the real-world constraints that operators deal with every day.
This is why the best network and warehouse design work combines quantitative modelling with qualitative insight. The model gives you the numbers, but experienced operators and site managers give you the context that turns a theoretical optimum into a practical solution. It's also why technology selection — from network modelling tools to WMS platforms — should be guided by what your organisation actually needs, not by what's newest or most feature-rich.
What About 3PL Versus In-House?
For many Australian businesses, the network design question is inseparable from the operating model question: should we run our own warehouses and transport, or outsource to a third-party logistics provider?
There's no universally right answer. In-house operations offer control, visibility, and the ability to invest in capability over time. 3PL arrangements offer flexibility, variable cost structures, and access to scale without capital commitment. Most organisations end up with some hybrid — perhaps owning their primary DC and using 3PLs for overflow, regional distribution, or specialised services.
What matters is that the operating model decision is made in the context of the network strategy, not independently of it. A poorly structured 3PL arrangement can erode the benefits of an optimised network, while a well-designed outsourcing model can extend the network's reach without proportional cost increases. Trace Consultants helps organisations evaluate insource versus outsource options as part of the broader network design process, ensuring the operating model supports the strategy rather than constraining it.
Resilience: The Dimension That's Easy to Forget
Most network design exercises focus on cost and service — and rightly so, since these are the primary performance dimensions. But the events of the past five years have taught us that resilience deserves equal attention.
A network that's optimised purely for efficiency can be dangerously fragile. A single DC serving the entire east coast is efficient right up until it's affected by flooding, fire, industrial action, or a pandemic-related shutdown. At that point, the cost of disruption far exceeds whatever savings the centralised model delivered.
Building resilience into network design means designing for redundancy where it matters — whether that's maintaining safety stock in a secondary location, designing facilities that can flex capacity, or structuring supplier and transport contracts to enable rapid redirection. Trace Consultants' resilience and risk management practice helps organisations stress-test their networks against realistic disruption scenarios and build contingency into their supply chain architecture.
How Trace Consultants Can Help
At Trace Consultants, we see network design and warehouse strategy as two halves of the same strategic coin. Our approach brings them together into an integrated process that delivers clear, quantified recommendations aligned with your commercial objectives.
Here's what that looks like in practice:
Rapid diagnostic and cost-to-serve analysis. We start with a sharp review of your demand flows, service promises, and current cost structure to identify the two or three levers that will have the greatest impact. This work gives leadership a clear picture of where the opportunities are before committing to a full design programme.
Scenario-based network modelling. We model multiple network configurations — varying facility count, locations, and inventory posture — and quantify the transport, warehousing, and inventory implications of each. We include emissions estimates and risk stress-tests so decisions are robust, not just efficient. Our strategy and network design team brings deep experience across retail, FMCG and manufacturing, government and defence, and health and aged care sectors.
Warehouse strategy and design. We develop layout options, storage media recommendations, process designs, and automation roadmaps tailored to your operational reality. Workforce requirements and safety are embedded from the start, not bolted on at the end. Our warehousing and distribution practice has helped organisations achieve significant reductions in warehouse operating costs and meaningful improvements in throughput and fulfilment accuracy.
Implementation support. Strategy without execution is just a slideshow. We stay involved through property fit-out, process change, systems implementation, and project and change management to ensure that what's designed on paper translates into real-world performance.
Independent, solution-agnostic advice. We don't sell property, equipment, or software. Our recommendations are shaped entirely by your operational requirements and strategic objectives. That independence is what allows us to give advice that genuinely serves our clients' interests.
The Stakes Are Higher Than They Look
Network design and warehouse strategy decisions lock in a significant portion of your cost base and service capability for years. In an environment where industrial property is tightening, construction costs remain high, customer expectations continue to rise, and the competitive landscape shifts fast, these decisions deserve more rigour than they typically receive.
The organisations that approach this work systematically — starting with strategy, grounding decisions in data, modelling scenarios, integrating network and facility design, and planning for resilience — will build supply chains that perform today and adapt tomorrow. Those that make property decisions opportunistically, design warehouses in isolation from the network, or skip the analytical work will find themselves locked into suboptimal configurations that are expensive to unwind.
If your network was designed for a different era — fewer channels, different volumes, a different cost environment — it's probably costing you more than you realise. And with the Australian industrial market heading into a tightening cycle, the window to act on better information is closing.
Trace Consultants can help you see clearly, decide confidently, and move quickly. We keep it practical, transparent, and focused on outcomes your board, your operations team, and your customers will recognise.
Trace Consultants is an Australian supply chain and procurement consultancy with offices in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, and Canberra. To discuss your network design or warehouse strategy, speak to one of our team.








