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Network Optimisation and Warehouse Automation: When Is the Right Time to Review the Business Case?

Network Optimisation and Warehouse Automation: When Is the Right Time to Review the Business Case?
Written by:
Trace Insights
Publish Date:
Feb 2026
Topic Tag:
Strategy & Design

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Network Optimisation and Warehouse Automation: When Is the Right Time to Review the Business Case?

There’s a moment most supply chain leaders recognise.

You’re in a steering meeting. Someone has dusted off the “automation business case” from 18 months ago. Another person has a new quote from a vendor. Finance is asking why the payback moved. Operations is asking whether the proposed system will actually work with your product mix. Meanwhile, service expectations have crept up, labour has tightened, transport pricing has shifted again, and your network footprint is no longer quite right for where demand is growing.

That’s the reality in Australia right now. Most organisations aren’t debating whether network optimisation and warehouse automation matter. They’re debating when to pull the trigger—and how to avoid spending a lot of money on something that looks brilliant in a slide deck but under-delivers on the floor.

This article is about timing: when it’s the right time to review (or rebuild) the business case for network optimisation and warehouse automation, what triggers you should watch for, what “good” looks like in a refreshed business case, and how to pressure-test decisions so the investment holds up when conditions change.

It’s written for Australian supply chain, operations, and finance leaders—because the local context matters: labour availability, industrial relations, property constraints, long line-haul distances, coastal population density, and the mix of metro and regional service expectations.

Why network optimisation and warehouse automation should be assessed together

A common trap is treating network design and warehouse automation as separate projects.

In practice, they’re tightly linked:

  • Automation changes the economics of your network. If you improve throughput per square metre and reduce labour sensitivity, you may be able to consolidate sites—or delay a new building.
  • Network decisions change the “right” automation solution. A centralised mega-DC tends to favour different automation than a multi-node network with smaller sites closer to customers.
  • Inventory and service levels don’t sit still. Network changes can increase or decrease inventory duplication. Automation can reduce cycle time and improve service, which can change how much safety stock you need.

If you look at automation in isolation, you often end up with a “best in class” warehouse concept that doesn’t fit the network you actually need. If you look at network optimisation without operational realism, you can end up with a mathematically optimal design that fails the moment you account for cutover risk, peak labour, or the reality of how orders are picked and shipped.

A strong approach builds a view of the network, then tests operational options—including automation—so the outcomes are implementable, not theoretical.

What a real business case needs to cover (beyond shiny capex)

If your business case is basically “capex vs labour savings”, it’s incomplete.

A board-ready business case for network optimisation and warehouse automation should cover, at minimum:

1) Service proposition (what you’re promising customers)

  • Delivery lead times by segment and geography
  • Cut-off times and order responsiveness
  • DIFOT / OTIF targets and how they’re measured
  • Returns expectations and reverse logistics impacts

2) Network design options (not just one preferred answer)

  • Number of nodes, locations, and roles of each site
  • Inbound flow paths (ports, suppliers, cross-docks, bonded arrangements)
  • Outbound transport strategy (line-haul + last mile)
  • Inventory placement logic and replenishment design

3) Warehouse operating model assumptions (the part most cases get wrong)

  • Order profile assumptions (lines per order, units per line, split shipments, cartonisation)
  • Picking method and travel assumptions
  • Receiving, putaway, replenishment, and cycle count workload
  • Peak day/week/month volumes and the shape of seasonality
  • Labour model (permanent vs labour hire, overtime, shift patterns, EBA constraints)

4) Automation solution fit (technology must match the job)

Warehouse automation is not one thing. You’re selecting from a toolkit:

  • Goods-to-person (e.g., shuttle systems, cube-based storage, automated totes)
  • AS/RS (pallet or case), conveyors, sortation, put walls
  • AMRs and robotics for transport, picking support, or replenishment
  • Picking enablement tech (voice, RF, light-directed, vision)
  • WMS/WCS integration requirements and controls architecture

5) Whole-of-life cost and risk

  • Maintenance, spares, vendor support, software licensing
  • Obsolescence risk and upgrade pathway
  • Downtime scenarios and the cost of failure
  • Safety, compliance, and training requirements
  • Cutover risk and dual-running costs

6) Benefits that aren’t labour (often bigger than you think)

  • Throughput capacity without expanding footprint
  • Reduced injury rates and safer manual handling
  • Accuracy improvements (claims, credits, rework reduction)
  • Stock loss reduction and traceability uplift
  • Space release (and what you can do with it)
  • Inventory reduction from shorter cycle times or better control

A modern business case also needs to handle “what if” questions—because conditions change. Which leads to the real point of this article.

When is the right time to review the business case?

Here are the most common triggers that mean your business case is probably stale (or at least needs a refresh). In our experience, if you have two or more of these happening at once, you should treat it as a formal review point.

1) Your demand pattern has shifted (and not just the total volume)

It’s not only “more volume”. It’s different volume:

  • E-commerce growth changes order profiles and peak behaviour
  • Higher SKU counts increase complexity and touches
  • Smaller orders with faster promises reshape pick/pack workload
  • Growth in regional demand can break a metro-optimised network

If the business case assumed stable order profiles and you’ve since moved into smaller baskets, more split orders, or more parcel freight, the labour model and automation fit may be wrong.

2) Your service expectations have tightened

Many Australian organisations are quietly tightening service promises without calling it a strategy shift:

  • Later cut-offs
  • Next-day expansion beyond capital cities
  • Higher DIFOT targets by key accounts
  • Tighter delivery windows

These changes can make a previously “fine” network suddenly inadequate—or push a warehouse beyond sustainable peak capacity.

3) Labour has become a constraint (availability, cost, or variability)

Warehouse automation is not always about removing people. Often it’s about reducing sensitivity to labour volatility:

  • Labour availability is patchy in key logistics corridors
  • Labour hire reliability can drop during peaks
  • Wage pressure and overtime creep can flatten your ROI

If your “do nothing” scenario is now dependent on increasingly fragile labour assumptions, revisit the case.

4) Property constraints or site costs have moved materially

Australia’s industrial property story is not uniform—some corridors are tight, others volatile, and incentives vary. Triggers include:

  • Lease renewal / break clause approaching
  • Expansion constraints at existing sites
  • Rent escalation that changes long-term economics
  • Capex scope creep in new-builds (services, power, compliance)

A network optimisation review can sometimes identify alternatives that reduce total footprint or avoid a build entirely. Equally, automation can be the lever that makes an existing site viable longer.

5) Transport costs or carrier performance have shifted

Even modest changes in transport economics can swing network decisions:

  • Line-haul rates move
  • Parcel pricing changes
  • Carrier capacity constraints appear seasonally
  • Fuel and surcharge variability creates planning noise

If outbound is a large portion of your cost-to-serve, it’s worth re-running network scenarios with updated rate cards and service performance data.

6) Your inventory strategy has changed (or needs to)

Inventory is the silent multiplier in network decisions. If any of these are true, refresh the model:

  • You’re chasing working capital reduction
  • Service is suffering due to stock placement decisions
  • Safety stock logic hasn’t kept pace with lead time variability
  • You’re holding too much “just in case” stock because the network is slow

Automation can improve cycle time, accuracy, and control. Network redesign can reduce duplication. Both impact inventory outcomes—so the business case should connect the dots.

7) Your data maturity has improved (or been exposed)

Sometimes you couldn’t model properly two years ago. Now you can. Or the opposite: you tried to model and discovered the data isn’t strong enough for a high-confidence decision.

Triggers:

  • Product master data has been cleaned up (dimensions, weights, handling constraints)
  • WMS data quality has improved
  • You now have better visibility of task times and productivity
  • You have credible time-stamped order data by channel

Automation selection is extremely sensitive to product and order characteristics. If you now have better data, it’s a great time to revisit the case and reduce uncertainty.

8) Technology options and vendor propositions have changed

The automation market moves quickly. So does the software ecosystem supporting it.

  • New solutions appear
  • Vendors adjust pricing models
  • Implementation timelines shift
  • Integration approaches improve (or worsen)

If the original business case was built around a single vendor option, it may not be competitive anymore—either too expensive, under-scoped, or unnecessarily complex.

9) A major systems change is happening anyway

If you’re upgrading or replacing WMS, ERP, order management, or planning platforms, you have a window where:

  • Process redesign is already on the table
  • Data structures are being rebuilt
  • Integration changes are already funded

This is often the right time to update the automation and network business case—because the marginal effort to do it properly is lower, and you can avoid “automating bad processes”.

10) Safety or compliance has become a board-level concern

In many operations, safety is the real burning platform:

  • Manual handling risk
  • High forklift/pedestrian interaction
  • Congestion and near-misses in peak periods
  • Compliance burden increasing with complexity

Automation can reduce high-risk touches, but only if designed correctly. If safety is escalating, the business case should include risk reduction and incident cost impacts—not as a footnote, but as a core driver.

11) Your network is being shaped by M&A, outsourcing, or channel strategy

A network designed for today’s portfolio may not suit tomorrow’s:

  • New product categories with different handling needs
  • Additional brands requiring shared capacity
  • Outsourcing options (3PL vs in-house) changing
  • New service channels (B2B, D2C, marketplaces) emerging

If the business is changing shape, the supply chain investment case needs to be updated to match the future, not the past.

12) Your current business case is older than 12–18 months

Even without obvious shocks, a business case ages quickly. A sensible cadence is:

  • Light refresh every 6–9 months (assumptions, rates, volumes)
  • Full refresh every 12–18 months (scenarios, design choices, risk)
  • Immediate refresh after major commercial or operational changes

If you’re past that window, treat the case as a draft—not a decision document.

Signs your current business case is misleading (even if the spreadsheet looks fine)

Some red flags show up repeatedly:

  • Peak wasn’t modelled properly. The design works on average days but fails in November or EOFY.
  • Benefits rely on perfect adoption. No allowance for learning curve, change fatigue, or mixed-mode operation during stabilisation.
  • Product mix assumptions are generic. “Average cube” and “average pick rate” hide the hard reality of slow movers, awkward items, and exceptions.
  • Integration effort is understated. WMS/WCS, controls, data, and exception workflows are where projects succeed or fail.
  • The “do nothing” case is unrealistic. It assumes productivity improves without investment, or labour appears when needed.
  • The case has one scenario. Real decisions require at least three credible options, including a pragmatic “minimum viable” path.

If you see these, it’s time to rebuild confidence before you spend.

How to refresh the business case without turning it into a six-month science project

A good business case refresh doesn’t have to be slow. The key is being structured and honest about uncertainty.

Here’s a practical approach that works.

Step 1: Reconfirm the service and growth story

Start with clarity:

  • What are we promising customers in 2–3 years?
  • Where will demand grow (metro vs regional, channel mix)?
  • What “non-negotiables” exist (key customer SLAs, product constraints, compliance)?

Step 2: Build (or recalibrate) a baseline that reflects reality

Your baseline is the anchor. It should reflect:

  • Current volumes by channel and site
  • Current labour costs and productivity (by process area)
  • Current transport costs and service outcomes
  • Current space, utilisation, and constraints

If the baseline is wrong, every scenario is wrong.

Step 3: Model a small set of high-quality network scenarios

Avoid 15 scenarios that no one believes. Aim for 3–5 credible options, such as:

  • Current network + operational improvements
  • Consolidation to fewer nodes
  • Additional node(s) closer to customers
  • Hybrid cross-dock / flow-through approach
  • Outsourced vs in-house variants

The aim is to understand how cost, service, and inventory behave under each.

Step 4: Define automation “concepts” matched to your operation

Don’t jump straight to brand names. Define concepts first:

  • What processes should be automated (storage, picking, sortation, transport, pallet handling)?
  • What order profiles need support (unit picking, case picking, bulky items, special handling)?
  • What exceptions exist and how are they handled?
  • What is the target operating model (shifts, labour mix, peak strategy)?

Then test which technology families fit best.

Step 5: Stress-test with sensitivity analysis

This is where confidence comes from. You should test:

  • Volume up/down scenarios
  • Labour cost inflation
  • Property cost changes
  • Transport rate changes
  • Automation productivity range (best case / expected / conservative)
  • Downtime impacts and recovery strategies

If your preferred option only works in the best-case scenario, it’s not board-ready.

Step 6: Convert outcomes into a decision pathway

Not every investment needs to be “big bang”. Often the best answer is staged:

  • Quick wins now (slotting, process redesign, picking tech enablement)
  • Enabling investments (data, WMS uplift, layout changes)
  • Scalable automation later (when volume thresholds are met)

A staged pathway protects ROI and reduces operational risk.

A real example of why review timing matters

In one ANZ logistics cost review we supported for a distributor with multiple warehouse sites, the initial finding was that unit rates for logistics activities were broadly in line with market—but meaningful value sat in network flows, process changes, and system enablement rather than simply re-tendering rates.

When detailed options modelling was completed, the organisation identified an opportunity in the order of high single digits to low teens percentage reduction in annual logistics costs, largely concentrated in inbound and warehousing levers. Importantly, the most material options were not “one magic change”—they were a set of decisions that needed to be assessed together: inventory settings, warehouse footprint and consolidation options, and targeted system enhancements to reduce manual effort and improve operational control.

The key takeaway: the value emerged once the business case moved beyond a static view and started testing scenarios with real operational constraints. That’s what a refresh does—it turns “we think” into “we know”, and it helps leaders choose the investment pathway that will still make sense when assumptions move.

Where specific tools and platforms fit (and where they don’t)

Network optimisation and automation business cases are increasingly supported by a combination of:

  • Network design / optimisation tools (commercial and in-house)
  • Planning platforms that provide demand, inventory, and supply signals
  • Execution systems (WMS, TMS, OMS) that hold operational truth

Depending on the question, organisations may use toolsets such as Coupa Supply Chain Design (powered by Llamasoft), GAINS, o9 Solutions, and other optimisation engines to model scenarios—alongside fit-for-purpose in-house solvers and well-structured modelling in familiar tools.

What matters isn’t the logo. It’s whether the modelling approach:

  • Uses the right level of detail for the decision
  • Can be explained clearly to operational leaders
  • Connects cost, service, capacity, and inventory outcomes
  • Can be updated as assumptions change (so the business case doesn’t die the moment it’s approved)

A good refresh also checks data readiness—because automation decisions are only as good as the product and order data underpinning them.

How Trace Consultants can help

Trace Consultants supports organisations across the full journey—from early-stage strategy through to investment decision support and implementation readiness. Where we’re most valuable is helping you avoid the two extremes: analysis paralysis on one hand, and overconfident vendor-led business cases on the other.

Here’s what support typically looks like.

1) Diagnostic and opportunity framing

  • Confirm service strategy and growth assumptions
  • Identify constraints (labour, property, safety, peak capacity)
  • Define the decision horizon and investment options

2) Network optimisation and scenario modelling

  • Build or recalibrate baseline network models
  • Test consolidation, expansion, and hybrid scenarios
  • Quantify cost-to-serve and service impacts
  • Include inventory and working capital implications

3) Warehouse automation concept design

  • Translate order and product profiles into automation requirements
  • Define operating model options and process designs
  • Assess automation concepts (goods-to-person, AS/RS, AMRs, sortation, picking enablement)
  • Identify prerequisites (data, layout, systems integration, change readiness)

4) Business case development and stress testing

  • Whole-of-life cost modelling, not just capex
  • Benefits modelling with conservative and realistic ranges
  • Sensitivity testing to show where the case breaks (and how to protect it)
  • Implementation pathway planning (staged vs big bang)

5) Go-to-market and delivery support

  • Vendor and integrator selection support (requirements, evaluation, governance)
  • Implementation planning and risk management
  • Change management, training approach, and operational readiness
  • Benefits tracking design so the business case becomes measurable outcomes

Trace is deliberately solution-agnostic. Our role is to help you make the decision that’s right for your operation—supported by evidence, operational reality, and a business case your CFO and COO can both stand behind.

Practical FAQ (the questions people actually ask)

How often should we revisit the automation business case?

At least every 12–18 months, and immediately after major changes in volume, service promise, labour, property, or systems strategy.

What’s the most common reason automation business cases fail?

The benefits assume stable operations and perfect adoption, while the real world includes peaks, exceptions, training curves, downtime, and integration friction.

Is warehouse automation only worth it at massive scale?

No. Some automation and picking enablement options suit mid-scale operations—especially where labour availability is the limiting factor. The key is matching the concept to the order profile, product characteristics, and required flexibility.

Can network optimisation alone deliver value without automation?

Yes—particularly where inbound/outbound flows and site roles are misaligned. But if labour constraints or throughput limits are the bottleneck, automation may be the lever that unlocks the network benefits.

What’s the quickest “tell” that we need a network review?

If you’re regularly expediting freight, struggling in peaks, adding labour without stabilising service, or running out of space—your network and operating model likely need a refresh.

Closing thought: the best time to review is before you’re forced to act

A rushed automation decision is expensive. A rushed network decision is disruptive. A refreshed business case gives you choices: staged investment, credible options, and clarity on what will work in your conditions—not someone else’s.

If you’re seeing a few of the triggers above, it’s likely time to refresh the business case—not because you want another report, but because you want to make a confident decision that holds up in the real world.

Warehouse automation isn’t one “big bet” technology—it’s a spectrum of solutions that can be combined depending on your order profile, product characteristics, space constraints, and service promise. At one end are “enablement” technologies that lift productivity and accuracy with relatively low disruption, such as RF optimisation, voice picking, pick-to-light/put-to-light, vision-enabled verification, dimensioning, weigh-and-scan, and smarter slotting supported by labour management. In the middle are mechanisation and high-throughput systems such as conveyors, sortation, merge/divert, carton handling, put walls, and automated labelling, often paired with packing automation and dynamic routing to smooth peak waves. At the more automated end are goods-to-person systems (shuttles, tote/cube storage and retrieval), AS/RS for pallets, cases or totes, automated pallet handling and depalletising, and robotics/AMRs for transport, replenishment support, or selected picking tasks—typically integrated through WCS/WES layers into the WMS and broader controls environment.

The provider landscape is equally broad: specialist automation integrators and OEMs supply the hardware and controls, while WMS vendors and systems integrators support the software backbone and integration. The “right” provider mix depends on whether you need a turnkey integrator-led solution, a best-of-breed stack managed by your own delivery team, or a staged pathway that de-risks implementation by starting with simpler productivity and flow improvements before scaling into higher automation.

Ready to turn insight into action?

We help organisations transform ideas into measurable results with strategies that work in the real world. Let’s talk about how we can solve your most complex supply chain challenges.

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